Project: Time Series Analysis of Food Stamp Program Caseloads
Award Year: 2000
Amount of award, fiscal 2000: $20,000.00
Institution: Nova Scotia Agricultural College
Principal Investigator: Stephen Clarke
Status: Completed
Detailed Objective: This project evaluates the time series properties of Food Stamp Program (FSP) caseloads from the late 1970's to 1999. The research focuses on testing for structural shifts over this time period by estimating a cointegrated longrun relationship and error correction specification within the framework of structural change. Recent research has attempted to quantify the relationship between movements in FSP caseloads, movements in the macroeconomy, and the implementation of welfare reform. From a policy perspective, interest has focused on estimating what part of the recent decline in FSP caseloads can be attributed to improvement in the macroeconomy and what part to welfare reform. Estimates of this division depend, however, on the underlying time series properties of the data.
Topic: Macroeconomic Conditions, SNAP/Food Stamp Program
Clarke, J., W. Levedahl, and A. Reed. Estimating Longrun Food Stamp Program Caseloads, E-FAN 04-013, USDA, ERS, December 2004.